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CTK Exchange
Pierre Charland
Member since Dec-22-05
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Jun-10-07, 08:09 PM (EST) |
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1. "RE: Probability"
In response to message #0
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>Astronomers reckon that, say, N=1.000 stars in the visible >universe are capable of carrying life on them. They randomly >selected n=50 stars (without replacement), tested them out and >found no evidence of life on them. What is P = the probability >of life existing in the universe (i.e. on the rest 950 ?) for 1000 stars, 50 tested: Pi = prob(life on exactly i stars, given 0 on 50) Pi = binomial(950,i) / 2^950 P = Sum(Pi; i=1..950) P = Sum(binomial(950,i); i=1..950) / 2^950 for N stars, n tested: Pi = prob(life on exactly i stars, given 0 on n) Pi = binomial(N-n,i) / 2^(N-n) P = Sum(Pi; i=1..(N-n)) P = Sum(binomial(N-n,i); i=1..(N-n)) / 2^(N-n) Is that OK ? If so, now we need a formula for the sum.
AlphaChapMtl |
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