I have a problem understanding this example. A assuming be is 2/11 or .1818 but P(A|B) = P(A∩B) / P(B) hoe do I calculate P(A|B) = P(A∩B). what are the numbers? The probability of 7 when rolling two die is 1/6 (= 6/36) because the sample space consists of 36 equiprobable elementary outcomes of which 6 are favorable to the event of getting 7 as the sum of two die. Denote this event A: P(A) = 1/6.
Consider another event B which is having at least one 2. There are still 36 elementary outcomes of which 11 are favorable to B; therefore, P(B) = 11/36. We do not know whether B happens or not, but this is a legitimate question to inquire as to what happens if it does. More specifically, what happens to the probability of A under the assumption that B took place?
The assumption that B took place reduces the set of possible outcomes to 11. Of these, only two - 25 and 52 - are favorable to A. Since this is reasonable to assume that the 11 elementary outcomes are equiprobable, the probability of A under the assumption that B took place equals 2/11. This probability is denoted P(A|B) - the probability of A assuming B: P(A|B) = 2/11. More explicitly P(A|B) is called the conditional probability of A assuming B. Of course, for any event A, P(A) = P(A|Ω), where, by convention, Ω is the universal event - the whole of the sample space - for which all available elementary outcomes are favorable.
We see that, in our example, P(A|B) ≠ P(A). In general, this may or may not be so.
Retracing the steps in the example,
P(A|B) = P(A∩B) / P(B)