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Subject: "Random Riddle"     Previous Topic | Next Topic
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Conferences The CTK Exchange High school Topic #389
Reading Topic #389
Arturo
guest
Oct-16-09, 03:37 PM (EST)
 
"Random Riddle"
 
   A typical example of a random sequence of 0s and 1s (of length n, say) is one that is obtained by repeated tossings of a fair coin, with "heads" and "tails" representing 1 and 0, respectively.

Now, if every n-binary sequence can, in principle, be obtained by this procedure, then all n-binary sequences are random, including such sequences as 01010101010...01 which obey a precise rule.

But on the other hand, if certain sequences can never be so obtained, then it's not true that the probability of obtaining any one of the 2^n sequences is 1/2^n--which contradicts a basic assumption of theoretical probability.

In either case, we seem to reach a conclusion that must be rejected. Can you explain a "way out" of this paradox?

Yours sincerely,

--Arturo


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alexbadmin
Charter Member
2451 posts
Oct-16-09, 03:47 PM (EST)
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1. "RE: Random Riddle"
In response to message #0
 
   The paradox is entirely semantic. The word "random" is used in two distinct ways.

1. A sequence is random if it has been created by a random process, or might have been.

2. A sequence is random if it looks disorderly, i.e. random.

Any sequence is random in the first sense whether it looks random (in the second sense) or not. Even of a sequence appears to follow a certain rule, it does not mean that it might not be the result of a stochastic process.

The apparent paradox brings to mind Solomon Golomb's syllogism:

All governments are unjust.

To prove the assertion for all governments, it is sufficient to prove it for an arbitrary government. If a government is arbitrary, it is obviously unjust. And since this is true for an arbitrary government, it is true for all governments.


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