Contents
Acknowledgments
Introduction
PART ONE: How Our Own Minds Can Work Against Us
- Lessons Set in Everyday Life
The Monty Hall Dilemma
The Psychological Component
Probability Problems
Logic Loops
Average Traps - Lessons Set in Dollars
Economic Illiteracy
Choosing a Raise
Renting a Room
Dysfunctional Dollars
The Lottery
An Impossible Average Classroom
A True Paradox
PART TWO: How Numbers and Statistics Can Mislead
- Misunderstanding Statistics
Normal Distributions
Mean, Median, and Mode
Numb Numbers
Facts About Fallacies
Fallacies about Facts - Why We Lead ourselves Down the Garden Path
Subjective Math and Logic
About the Appendix - How Even Our Health is Affected
Drug Testing and AIDS Testing
Screening for Breast Cancer
Questions We Should Ask
PART THREE: How Politicians Exploit Our Innocence
- The Election of 1992 (The Advent of the 'Reign of Error")
The Worst Economic Record in Fifty Years?
The Tax Cut in Arkansas?
Helping the Rich at the Expense of the Poor?
The Top One Percent Got 60 Percent of the Growth?
Save Social Security with a Cutoff in Benefits?
The Declining Job Base?
There's Something Wrong With Our Tax Code?
Put Everything on Hold Until the Deficit is Slain?
Raising Taxes on Only the Rich is a Fraudulent Claim?
The Deficit Will be Cut in Half?
Arkansas Led the Nation?
A Plan to Create Eight Million New Jobs?
Government Mandates Don't Cost Money?
George Bush Was a Hypocrite?
Capping Is the Same as Slicing?
Everyone Should Earn More than Average?
A Tax Break for Millionaires?
Job-Seekers Should Move to Arkansas?
Bush Refused to Increase Taxes?
Our Wages Have Dropped From First to 13th?
Forty Million Americans Don't Have Health Insurance?
The First Decline in Industrial Production Ever?
We're Working Harder for Less Money? - From 1992 to 1996 and Beyond
Sources
Appendix: The Monty Hall Dilemma
Index
About the Author
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Copyright © 1996-2018 Alexander Bogomolny