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Forum URL: http://www.cut-the-knot.org/cgi-bin/dcforum/forumctk.cgi
Forum Name: Thoughts and Suggestions
Topic ID: 97
#0, Drawing matches
Posted by Alexei on Jan-13-11 at 09:05 PM
The page on conditional probability calculates probabilities of drawing the short match. Among other things, there are several fraction divisions that go like this:
1/5 / 5/6 = 1/6
and
1/4 / 4/6 = 1/6

Though the outcomes seem to agree with the meaning of the probabilities calculated, the arithmetic does not.

Any thoughts?

http://www.cut-the-knot.org/Probability/ConditionalProbability.shtml


#1, RE: Drawing matches
Posted by alexb on Jan-13-11 at 11:44 PM
In response to message #0
Thank you, Alexei.

I do not know what I was thinking. Rather obviously the probabilities have to be multiplied. I'll need to redo that part.

Thank you again


#2, RE: Drawing matches
Posted by alexb on Jan-14-11 at 07:53 AM
In response to message #1
It's back up there.